Infrastructure Systems: Smart and Resilient Energy Systems


REU Mentor: Yufei Tang, Ph.D. & Yingqi Feng

REU Scholar: Lindsay Steis

REU Scholar Home Institution: Gannon University

Project: Deep Learning-Based Algal Bloom Prediction for Lake Okeechobee Using Multi-Source Data Fusion


PROJECT

Florida’s Inland Sea, or Lake Okeechobee, is a large, but shallow freshwater lake in South Florida that offers numerous economic and ecological advantages to Florida residents and visitors. However, there have been serious threats to Lake Okeechobee over the past decade known as harmful algal blooms (HABs). Though satellite sensors can collect remote sensing images of the lake, there is often missing information due to dead pixels, a cloudy environment, sun glint, or water turbidity. Discontinuous data will impact long-term training for the model, so another method of prediction can be used to combat the issue: a HAB prediction model using deep-learning methods and a multi-source dataset. A hybrid dataset composed of remote sensing data from satellites above Lake Okeechobee and simulated data from a hydrodynamic biological model was used to forecast future HABs. Extensive testing of the model performance on different datasets was necessary in order to understand the capability of future applications more accurately. The project involves the REU participant testing the performance for a single-day and a two-week window using a deep learning model called ConvLSTM NN for the hybrid dataset. Additional windows, such as fourteen days of input to predict two days and seven days of input to predict seven days, were tested in order to observe how altering and updating the prediction windows would impact the overall training and performance of the HAB prediction model. Overall, this project serves as another tool to help provide knowledge about when HABs will occur in Lake Okeechobee and presents a new application for predicting HABs in other vulnerable areas. Deep learning prediction modeling can be used for many other environmental applications and will substantially change how these issues are handled in the future.

Index Terms – Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs), Deep Learning, Prediction Modeling, Convolutional Long-Short Term Memory (ConvLSTM), Neural Network (NN)

Additional Information
The Institute for Sensing and Embedded Network Systems Engineering (I-SENSE) was established in early 2015 to coordinate university-wide activities in the Sensing and Smart Systems pillar of FAU’s Strategic Plan for the Race to Excellence.
Address
Florida Atlantic University
777 Glades Road
Boca Raton, FL 33431
i-sense@fau.edu