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GULF RESEARCH PROGRAM AWARDS FAU HARBOR BRANCH RESEARCHER GRANT TO IMPROVE THE UNDERSTANDING AND PREDICTION OF THE GULF OF MEXICO LOOP CURRENT SYSTEM  

This figure shows the 12-week prediction of eddy Darwin's Sea Surface Height. Current ocean prediction models can at best forecast 6 weeks ahead with more errors in the SSH than our model 12 weeks ahead.
This figure shows the twelve-week prediction of eddy Darwin's Sea Surface Height. Current ocean prediction models can at best forecast six weeks ahead with more errors in the SSH than our model twelve weeks ahead.

Lynda F. Rysavy | 1/21/2020

 

The Gulf Research Program (GRP) of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine awarded a $346,179 grant to Laurent Chérubin, Ph.D., an associate research professor at FAU Harbor Branch.

The GRP awarded $2 million in grants to a total of seven new projects focused on improving understanding of the Gulf of Mexico Loop Current System. 

Changes in the size, location, and temperature of the Loop Current can affect hurricane intensity, offshore drilling and production in the Gulf, and the safety and economic livelihoods of coastal community residents. Despite its far-reaching impacts, there are persistent knowledge gaps about the LCS.  

Now in its second year, the Understanding Gulf Ocean Systems (UGOS) funding initiative supports projects that expand knowledge and improve the tools available for observing and modeling the Loop Current System’s behavior.  

Dr. Chérubin will apply machine learning tools to predict current loop speed, vertical structure, and duration under any SSH field by using 18 years of sea surface height (SSH) fields and sub-surface observations from previous and current programs. 

The research project titled, "Loop Current System SSH and subsurface current prediction with a transfer learning approach" will improve understanding of the eddy formation and shedding processes. 

The project will deliver a predictive capability for location and duration of the Loop Current over a forecast period of 1 month; eddy shedding at a 2-3 month lead; and predictive skill for Loop Current and Loop Current eddy speed, vertical structure, duration over a several day forecast.

 To learn more, read the press release or visit the UGOS grant awards page.